Michio Kaku stated that we are a "0" civilization. He compared where we are at in computer technology to the evolution of the universe. He said that going from Stage 0 to Stage 1 is the most dangerous time period of the evolution process. It is during this time that the risk of failure is the most likely. Some reasons are; lack of tolerance, exhaustion of resources, cultural and political objections and terrorist threats.
I feel that the chances of success are in our favor. It is in the nature of man to want to find a better way of doing things. There will always be the battle of good over evil but in this case the evil wants a better and faster way to meet their goals too. It is through ignorance or over-use of resources that all civilization will fail.
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